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Toronto vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Toronto vs. NY City at the SLC on July 26, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Toronto
0
5
Jul 26, 11:30PM Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
NY City
Jul 26, 11:30PM Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
M. Chanot (30')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bakrar (45')
Soccer ball icon
S. Rodriguez (45')
Soccer ball icon
A. Jasson (56')
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S. Rodriguez (75')
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S. O'Neill (85')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NYC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
A. Mabika (Toronto FC) cautioned
85'
Red Card
S. O'Neill (Toronto FC) sent off for a second yellow card
78'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Ilenic replaces S. Rodriguez
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Antonoglou replaces A. Coello
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by S. Rodriguez, assisted by Talles Magno
0-5
67'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces M. Bakrar
67'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Pellegrini replaces R. Ledezma
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Marshall-Rutty replaces L. Blessing
59'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: K. O'Toole replaces B. E. Cufre
59'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: J. Haak replaces M. Chanot
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by A. Jasson, assisted by B. E. Cufre
0-4
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Kerr replaces J. Perruzza
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: H. Mbongue replaces K. Franklin
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Mabika replaces F. Bernardeschi
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by M. Bakrar
0-2
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by S. Rodriguez
0-3
38'
Yellow Card
S. O'Neill (Toronto FC) cautioned
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by M. Chanot, assisted by S. Rodriguez
0-1

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Toronto vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Toronto vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all SLC matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. NY City
  • Date: Wednesday, July 26, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena
  • Tournament: SLC

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +500, NY City -180, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/-105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Toronto: 20.9%
  • NY City: 55.0%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Toronto 0-1 NY City, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Toronto is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 20.9% probability, while NY City sits at 55.0%, with the draw at 24.0%.

For full access to SLC predictions, probabilities, and tools such as SLC best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Toronto vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the SLC and the latest SLC news.

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