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Toluca vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Toluca vs. Nashville at the SLC on July 27, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
SLC
FINAL
SLC
4
3
Jul 28, 12:30AM GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
Jul 28, 12:30AM GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
W. Zimmerman (3')
F. Picault (37')
L. Haakenson (70')
T. Bunbury (86')
M. Ruiz (27')
M. Ruiz (44')
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (45')
R. Morales (61')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
M. Araujo (Toluca) cautioned
T. Bunbury (Nashville SC) sent off for a second yellow card
Substitution for Toluca: J. Venegas replaces R. Morales
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces J. Meneses
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces M. Ruiz
Substitution for Nashville SC: L. Macnaughton replaces J. Bauer
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Washinghton replaces D. Lovitz
L. Haakenson (Nashville SC) cautioned
Goal scored for Nashville SC by L. Haakenson, assisted by J. Shaffelburg
4-3
T. Bunbury (Nashville SC) cautioned
J. Shaffelburg (Nashville SC) cautioned
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Nashville SC: L. Haakenson replaces F. Picault
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Gregus replaces T. Anunga
Goal scored for Toluca by R. Morales
4-2
Substitution for Toluca: Pedro Raul replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Bunbury replaces A. Muyl
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
3-2
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz, assisted by R. Morales
2-2
Substitution for Toluca: B. A. Garcia Caprizo replaces A. Mora
Goal scored for Nashville SC by F. Picault, assisted by J. Shaffelburg
1-2
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz, assisted by M. Araujo
1-1
F. Picault (Nashville SC) cautioned
Goal scored for Nashville SC by W. Zimmerman, assisted by D. Lovitz
0-1
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Toluca vs. Nashville: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Toluca vs. Nashville prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all SLC matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Toluca vs. Nashville
- Date: Thursday, July 27, 2023
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: GEODIS Park
- Tournament: SLC
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Toluca +255, Nashville +100, draw +275
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-132/+100)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Toluca: 32.3%
- Nashville: 42.1%
- Draw: 25.6%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Toluca 1-1 Nashville, with a probability of 12%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Toluca is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 32.3% probability, while Nashville sits at 42.1%, with the draw at 25.6%.
For full access to SLC predictions, probabilities, and tools such as SLC best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Toluca vs. Nashville prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the SLC and the latest SLC news.
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