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San Jose vs. LA Galaxy Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for San Jose vs. LA Galaxy at the MLS on April 21, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Apr 22, 12:15AM Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, California)
Apr 22, 12:15AM Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Gabriel Pec (14')
J. Paintsil (pen.) (24')
M. Yoshida (30')
R. Puig (56')
E. Zavaleta (70')
Rodrigues (32')
B. Kikanovic (58')
J. Ebobisse (pen.) (72')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces Vitor Costa
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: D. Aguirre replaces Gabriel Pec
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Berry replaces D. Joveljic
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: A. Morales replaces C. Gruezo
J. Skahan (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Ebobisse (pen.)
3-4
E. Zavaleta (Los Angeles Galaxy) sent off with a straight red card
R. Puig (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: D. Fagundez replaces J. Paintsil
Vitor Costa (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Cuevas replaces E. Cerrillo
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Zavaleta replaces M. Caceres
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by B. Kikanovic, assisted by J. Yueill
2-4
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces N. Tsakiris
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Kikanovic replaces A. Pellegrino
Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by R. Puig, assisted by Gabriel Pec
1-4
C. Gruezo (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ebobisse replaces P. Judd
C. Espinoza (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by Rodrigues, assisted by C. Espinoza
1-3
Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by M. Yoshida, assisted by J. Paintsil
0-3
Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by J. Paintsil (pen.)
0-2
Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by Gabriel Pec, assisted by D. Joveljic
0-1
J. Paintsil (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
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San Jose vs. LA Galaxy: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' San Jose vs. LA Galaxy prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: San Jose vs. LA Galaxy
- Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Venue: Dignity Health Sports Park
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: San Jose +475, LA Galaxy -185, draw +360
Dimers' win probabilities
- San Jose: 16.0%
- LA Galaxy: 67.0%
- Draw: 17.1%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Jose 1-2 LA Galaxy, with a probability of 9%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
San Jose is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 16.0% probability, while LA Galaxy sits at 67.0%, with the draw at 17.1%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' San Jose vs. LA Galaxy prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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