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Miami vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Miami vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on April 13, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Miami
3
2
Apr 14, 12:30AM Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
Sporting KC
Apr 14, 12:30AM Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
E. Thommy (6')
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E. Thommy (58')
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D. Gomez (18')
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L. Messi (51')
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L. Suarez (71')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: Y. Bright replaces D. Gomez
88'
Yellow Card
J. Davis (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Russell replaces E. Thommy
83'
Yellow Card
N. Radoja (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
79'
Yellow Card
F. Hernandez (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Negri replaces J. Alba
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez, assisted by D. Gomez
3-2
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: B. Cremaschi replaces J. Gressel
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by E. Thommy, assisted by D. Salloi
2-2
56'
Yellow Card
D. Gomez (Inter Miami) cautioned
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by D. Ruiz
2-1
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: F. Hernandez replaces R. Walter
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by D. Gomez
1-1
15'
Yellow Card
T. Aviles (Inter Miami) cautioned
6'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by E. Thommy, assisted by T. Leibold
0-1

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Miami vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Miami vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, April 13, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +155, Sporting KC +170, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-186/+133)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Miami: 30.6%
  • Sporting KC: 46.4%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Miami 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Miami is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 30.6% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 46.4%, with the draw at 22.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Miami vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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