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Houston vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. Minnesota at the MLS on April 13, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Houston
2
1
Apr 14, 12:30AM Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
Minnesota
Apr 14, 12:30AM Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MinnesotaMIN
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
F. Fragapane (70')
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A. J. Bran Flores (o.g.) (38')
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S. Kowalczyk (77')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MIN
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Yellow Card
D. Steres (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: C. Clark replaces D. Taylor
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Raines replaces A. Bassi
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Adebayo-Smith replaces W. Trapp
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by S. Kowalczyk, assisted by A. Bassi
2-1
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Smith replaces L. Blessing
74'
Yellow Card
S. Kowalczyk (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by F. Fragapane
1-1
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: T. Oluwaseyi replaces T. Pukki
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: F. Fragapane replaces B. Hlongwane
56'
Yellow Card
M. Boxall (Minnesota United) cautioned
48'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: H. Dotson replaces A. J. Bran Flores
40'
Yellow Card
Micael (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by A. J. Bran Flores (o.g.)
1-0
34'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Micael replaces E. Sviatchenko
23'
Yellow Card
A. Carrasquilla (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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Houston vs. Minnesota: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Houston vs. Minnesota prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Saturday, April 13, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +205, Minnesota +130, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-112/+104)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Houston: 30.5%
  • Minnesota: 44.3%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 1-1 Minnesota, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 30.5% probability, while Minnesota sits at 44.3%, with the draw at 25.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Houston vs. Minnesota prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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