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Chicago vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. Toronto at the MLS on June 15, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Chicago
4
1
Jun 15, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
Toronto
Jun 15, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
L. Insigne (44')
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M. Haile-Selassie (41')
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H. Cuypers (57')
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M. Pineda (60')
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A. Arigoni (89')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Casas replaces F. Herbers
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by A. Arigoni, assisted by F. Herbers
4-1
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: G. Koutsias replaces H. Cuypers
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: C. Mailula replaces R. Petretta
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces M. Haile-Selassie
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: G. Gimenez replaces K. Acosta
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: W. Omsberg replaces C. Teran
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Mabika replaces J. Marshall-Rutty
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Thompson replaces S. Rosted
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: P. Owusu replaces D. Kerr
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Franklin replaces A. Coello
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by M. Pineda, assisted by B. Gutierrez
3-1
57'
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Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
2-1
44'
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Goal scored for Toronto FC by L. Insigne, assisted by R. Petretta
1-1
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by M. Haile-Selassie, assisted by F. Herbers
1-0

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Chicago vs. Toronto: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chicago vs. Toronto prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, June 15, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +310, Toronto +100, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+112)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chicago: 24.8%
  • Toronto: 51.2%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 1-1 Toronto, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 24.8% probability, while Toronto sits at 51.2%, with the draw at 24.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chicago vs. Toronto prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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