May 23, 2026
LA Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/23/2026]
Read Article Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Sporting Kansas City vs NY Red Bulls predictions for MLS Saturday.
Sporting KC and NY Red Bulls are scheduled to meet in MLS action on Saturday, with kickoff at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts NY Red Bulls as the most likely winner of the Sporting KC vs. NY Red Bulls game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Sporting KC and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 35.2% chance of Sporting KC winning, a 43.2% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 21.6% chance of a draw.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Sporting KC | NY Red Bulls | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +195 | +110 | +300 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sporting KC | +195 |
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Sporting KC to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SKC 1-1 NYR | 8.5% |
| SKC 1-2 NYR | 8.3% |
| SKC 2-1 NYR | 7.4% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Sporting KC and NY Red Bulls is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls
- Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
World Cup 2026 watch: John Tolkin (USA)
NY Red Bulls left-back John Tolkin is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans this season as anticipation ramps up ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Tolkin's club form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Sporting KC has a 35.2% win probability on Saturday, NY Red Bulls have a 43.2% win probability, and there is a 21.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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