NY Red Bulls vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY Red Bulls vs. Sporting KC MLS match on May 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
NY Red Bulls
2
1
Sporting KC
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
C. Harris (64')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruvalcaba (3')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruvalcaba (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY Red Bulls
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Yellow Card
    N. Benedetti (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  2. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Suleymanov replaces Capita
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Bazan replaces O. Valencia
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: C. Harper replaces R. Mosquera
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces T. Calheira
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mitchell replaces J. Ruvalcaba
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: N. Benedetti replaces G. Berggren
  8. 70'
    Yellow Card
    L. Johnsen (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  9. 64'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by C. Harris, assisted by M. Garcia
    2-1
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Garcia replaces Z. Bassong
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Reynolds replaces J. Davis
  12. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Marshall-Rutty (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  13. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by J. Hall
    2-0
  14. 19'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mosquera replaces C. Cowell
  15. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by G. Berggren
    1-0

NY Red Bulls vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +125, Sporting KC +188, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-300/+240)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 42.4%
  • Sporting KC: 35.9%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Sporting KC (8.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win NY Red Bulls vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.4%.

The most likely correct score is NY Red Bulls 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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