May 23, 2026
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Read Article Nashville SC vs. New York City prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Nashville SC vs New York City predictions for MLS Saturday.
MLS action continues on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET as NY City locks horns with Nashville at Geodis Park.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Nashville as the most likely winner of the Nashville vs. NY City game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Nashville SC vs. New York City prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Nashville and NY City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 60.1% chance of Nashville winning, an 18.5% chance for NY City, and a 21.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
Nashville SC vs. New York City odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Nashville | NY City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -135 | +350 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -130 | -105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nashville SC vs. New York City picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nashville | -135 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -130 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Nashville to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nashville SC vs. New York City: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NSC 1-1 NYC | 10.1% |
| NSC 2-1 NYC | 10% |
| NSC 1-0 NYC | 10% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Nashville SC vs. New York City game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Nashville and NY City in MLS at Geodis Park is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Nashville SC vs. New York City
- Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Geodis Park
World Cup 2026 watch: Walker Zimmerman (USA)
Nashville center-back Walker Zimmerman is on the radar for USMNT fans this year as interest ramps up in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—a tournament driving heavy demand for World Cup news and early talk about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Zimmerman's MLS form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Nashville has a 60.1% win probability on Saturday, NY City has an 18.5% win probability, and there is a 21.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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