NY City vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Nashville MLS match on May 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
NY City
1
2
Geodis Park
Nashville
Geodis Park
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
J. Palacios (16')
Soccer ball icon
M. Woledzi (49')
Soccer ball icon
N. Mercau (pen.) (23')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nashville
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces C. Espinoza
  2. 86'
    Yellow Card
    C. Espinoza (Nashville SC) cautioned
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces N. Cavallo
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: K. Pierre replaces K. Trewin
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: C. Brunet replaces B. Acosta
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Muyl replaces W. Madrigal
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: M. Carrizo replaces A. Perea
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: S. Surridge replaces A. Qasem
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: H. Wolf replaces M. Jones
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces A. Farnos
  11. 65'
    Yellow Card
    A. Qasem (Nashville SC) cautioned
  12. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by M. Woledzi, assisted by B. Acosta
    1-2
  13. 25'
    Yellow Card
    K. Trewin (New York City) cautioned
  14. 23'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau (pen.)
    1-1
  15. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by J. Palacios, assisted by C. Espinoza
    0-1

NY City vs. Nashville: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Nashville
  • Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Geodis Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +320, Nashville -105, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-113/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY City: 19.3%
  • Nashville: 58.9%
  • Draw: 21.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY City 1-1 Nashville (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win NY City vs. Nashville? Prediction & correct score

Nashville is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.9%.

The most likely correct score is NY City 1-1 Nashville.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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