Minnesota vs. Seattle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Minnesota vs. Seattle MLS match on September 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Minnesota
1
3
Lumen Field
Seattle
Lumen Field
SeattleSEA
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
J. Morris (16')
Soccer ball icon
H. Dotson (35')
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P. Arriola (83')
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A. Markanich (57')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Seattle
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Minnesota
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: S. Brunell replaces J. Morris
  2. 86'
    Yellow Card
    S. Hawkins (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: Y. Gomez Andrade replaces A. Rusnak
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: K. Kossa-Rienzi replaces Nouhou
  5. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Malone replaces K. Yeboah
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: A. Jackson replaces T. Chancalay
  7. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by P. Arriola
    1-3
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Gonzalez replaces M. Caldeira
  9. 71'
    Yellow Card
    H. Dotson (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
  10. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: P. Arriola replaces D. Musovski
  11. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: S. Gomez replaces C. Clark
  12. 58'
    Yellow Card
    O. Gene (Minnesota United) cautioned
  13. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich, assisted by B. Hlongwane
    1-2
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: B. Hlongwane replaces K. Duncan
  15. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by H. Dotson
    0-2
  16. 28'
    Yellow Card
    J. Diaz (Minnesota United) cautioned
  17. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by J. Morris, assisted by A. Rusnak
    0-1

Minnesota vs. Seattle: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. Seattle
  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Lumen Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota 29¢, Seattle 46¢, draw 26¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (63¢/38¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Minnesota: 28.5%
  • Seattle: 48.1%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Minnesota 1-1 Seattle (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Minnesota vs. Seattle? Prediction & correct score

Seattle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.1%.

The most likely correct score is Minnesota 1-1 Seattle.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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