Philadelphia Union vs. Orlando City prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/26/2026]

Philadelphia will take on Orlando in MLS action at Subaru Park on Saturday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Philadelphia as the most likely winner in this Philadelphia vs. Orlando prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Philadelphia Union vs. Orlando City prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Philadelphia and Orlando, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 67.8% chance of Philadelphia winning, a 15.8% chance for Orlando, and a 16.4% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 77.0% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Orlando +488, Philadelphia -194
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-317/+300)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Philadelphia @ -194 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -317 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Philadelphia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Philadelphia win being the most probable:

• Philadelphia 2-1 Orlando (8.5% probability)
• Philadelphia 3-1 Orlando (7.8%)
• Philadelphia 2-0 Orlando (6.6%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between Philadelphia and Orlando in MLS at Subaru Park is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Union vs. Orlando City
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Subaru Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Philadelphia has a 67.8% win probability on Saturday, Orlando has a 15.8% win probability, and there is a 16.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.