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St Louis City vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. Dallas at the MLS on June 15, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
0
2
Jun 16, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
Dallas
Jun 16, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
DallasFCD
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
J. Ferreira (pen.) (28')
Soccer ball icon
Nkosi Tafari (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCD
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Junqua replaces M. Farfan
85'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Fraser replaces S. Lletget
85'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: B. Kamungo replaces P. Musa
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by Nkosi Tafari, assisted by S. Lletget
0-2
78'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Adeniran replaces Joao Klauss
77'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Klein replaces N. Blom
77'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Jackson replaces H. Kijima
75'
Yellow Card
N. Thorisson (St. Louis City) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
E. Lowen (St. Louis City) cautioned
65'
Yellow Card
S. Ibeagha (FC Dallas) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces J. Ferreira
63'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: T. Ntsabeleng replaces P. Delgado
45'
Yellow Card
A. Illarramendi (FC Dallas) cautioned
36'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Yaro replaces J. Nilsson
34'
Yellow Card
T. Parker (St. Louis City) cautioned
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by J. Ferreira (pen.)
0-1
26'
Yellow Card
J. Nilsson (St. Louis City) cautioned
20'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: N. Thorisson replaces C. Pompeu

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St Louis City vs. Dallas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Dallas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, June 15, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +190, Dallas +135, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+108)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 30.6%
  • Dallas: 44.0%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 1-1 Dallas, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 30.6% probability, while Dallas sits at 44.0%, with the draw at 25.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Dallas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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