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Chicago vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. D.C. United at the MLS on May 25, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Chicago
1
:
1
May 25, 11:30PM Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
D.C. United
May 25, 11:30PM Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
C. McVey (21')
Soccer ball icon
K. Acosta (53')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
DC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
CHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Souquet replaces A. Gutman
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces H. Cuypers
83'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: Gabriel Pirani replaces J. Hopkins
83'
Yellow Card
S. Birnbaum (DC United) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: G. Tubbs replaces L. Bartlett
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: G. Koutsias replaces T. Barlow
72'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: K. Fletcher replaces T. Ku-DiPietro
71'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces J. Stroud
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: F. Herbers replaces K. Acosta
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces A. Arigoni
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by K. Acosta
1-1
46'
Yellow Card
C. Benteke (DC United) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: M. Peltola replaces C. McVey
45'
Yellow Card
C. Teran (Chicago Fire) cautioned
42'
Yellow Card
C. Dajome (DC United) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
A. Arigoni (Chicago Fire) cautioned
21'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by C. McVey, assisted by S. Birnbaum
0-1

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Chicago vs. D.C. United: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chicago vs. D.C. United prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, May 25, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +380, D.C. United -175, draw +330

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chicago: 18.4%
  • D.C. United: 61.0%
  • Draw: 20.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 1-2 D.C. United, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.4% probability, while D.C. United sits at 61.0%, with the draw at 20.6%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chicago vs. D.C. United prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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