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St Louis City vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on May 18, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
1
3
May 18, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
May 18, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
L. Acosta (pen.) (26')
Soccer ball icon
Y. Kubo (49')
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S. Santos (80')
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M. Miazga (o.g.) (54')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Keller replaces I. Murphy
86'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: M. Pinto replaces L. Acosta
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by S. Santos, assisted by L. Acosta
1-3
75'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: E. Lowen replaces S. Adeniran
67'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Santos replaces Y. Kubo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Y. Asad replaces B. Halsey
60'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Durkin replaces N. Blom
60'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: I. Vassilev replaces C. Pompeu
59'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Kelsy replaces G. Valenzuela
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Miazga (o.g.)
1-2
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Y. Kubo, assisted by L. Acosta
0-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Parker replaces N. Dyhr
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces H. Kijima
44'
Yellow Card
S. Adeniran (St. Louis City) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
I. Murphy (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
H. Kijima (St. Louis City) cautioned
26'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by L. Acosta (pen.)
0-1

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St Louis City vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +370, Cincinnati -140, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-154/+128)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 21.1%
  • Cincinnati: 56.3%
  • Draw: 22.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 1-1 Cincinnati, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.1% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 56.3%, with the draw at 22.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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