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San Jose vs. Portland Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for San Jose vs. Portland at the MLS on May 15, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
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May 16, 2:30AM Providence Park (Portland, Oregon)
May 16, 2:30AM Providence Park (Portland, Oregon)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Evander (pen.) (74')
J. Rodriguez (80')
F. Mora (pen.) (90')
J. Rodriguez (90')
A. Pellegrino (31')
H. Lopez (34')
B. R. Wilson Valdez (72')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by F. Mora (pen.)
2-3
Substitution for Portland Timbers: Nathan Fogaca replaces Evander
Substitution for Portland Timbers: D. Ayala replaces F. Mora
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by J. Rodriguez
2-4
W. Yarbrough (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces A. Pellegrino
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: D. Munie replaces C. Espinoza
K. Miller (Portland Timbers) cautioned
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by J. Rodriguez, assisted by K. Miller
2-2
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Beason replaces H. Lopez
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Judd replaces J. Ebobisse
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by Evander (pen.)
2-1
B. R. Wilson Valdez (San Jose Earthquakes) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Portland Timbers: C. Paredes replaces Antony
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Yueill replaces N. Tsakiris
Substitution for Portland Timbers: E. Miller replaces D. Asprilla
Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Rodriguez replaces L. Mabiala
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by H. Lopez
2-0
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by A. Pellegrino
1-0
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San Jose vs. Portland: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' San Jose vs. Portland prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: San Jose vs. Portland
- Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024
- Time: 10:30 PM ET
- Venue: Providence Park
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: San Jose +245, Portland +115, draw +285
Dimers' win probabilities
- San Jose: 24.8%
- Portland: 54.3%
- Draw: 20.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Jose 1-2 Portland, with a probability of 9%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
San Jose is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 24.8% probability, while Portland sits at 54.3%, with the draw at 20.9%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' San Jose vs. Portland prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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