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Orlando vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Orlando vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on May 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Orlando
3
2
May 11, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
May 11, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
M. Uhre (12')
Soccer ball icon
D. Gazdag (pen.) (66')
Soccer ball icon
D. McGuire (21')
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L. Muriel (42')
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L. Muriel (46')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ORL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
D. McGuire (Orlando City) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: T. Baribo replaces D. Lowe
89'
Yellow Card
K. Smith (Orlando City) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
C. Araujo (Orlando City) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: Felipe Martins replaces L. Muriel
81'
Yellow Card
D. Lowe (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces J. Martinez
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Gazdag (pen.)
3-2
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: K. Smith replaces R. Jansson
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: D. D. Thorhallsson replaces M. Ojeda
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by L. Muriel, assisted by N. Lodeiro
3-1
45'
Yellow Card
I. Angulo (Orlando City) cautioned
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by L. Muriel
2-1
21'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by D. McGuire, assisted by N. Lodeiro
1-1
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Uhre
0-1

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Orlando vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Orlando vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +250, Philadelphia +105, draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+104)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Orlando: 21.7%
  • Philadelphia: 55.9%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Orlando 1-1 Philadelphia, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Orlando is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.7% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 55.9%, with the draw at 22.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Orlando vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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