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NY Red Bulls vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY Red Bulls vs. Miami at the MLS on May 4, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY Red Bulls
2
6
May 4, 11:30PM Chase Stadium (Fort Lauderdale, Florida)
Miami
May 4, 11:30PM Chase Stadium (Fort Lauderdale, Florida)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
M. Rojas (49')
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L. Messi (51')
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M. Rojas (62')
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L. Suarez (69')
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L. Suarez (75')
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L. Suarez (81')
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D. Vanzeir (30')
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E. Forsberg (pen.) (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MIA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NY
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. Forsberg (pen.)
2-6
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: L. Campana replaces L. Suarez
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: N. Allen replaces F. Negri
82'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Gjengaar replaces D. Vanzeir
82'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Donkor replaces W. Carmona
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez, assisted by L. Messi
1-6
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez, assisted by L. Messi
1-5
71'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: Elias Manoel replaces F. Amaya
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez, assisted by L. Messi
1-4
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: Y. Bright replaces J. Gressel
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: B. Cremaschi replaces R. Taylor
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by M. Rojas, assisted by L. Messi
1-3
57'
Yellow Card
T. Aviles (Inter Miami) cautioned
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by L. Suarez
1-2
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by M. Rojas, assisted by L. Messi
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: M. Rojas replaces D. Ruiz
39'
Yellow Card
W. Carmona (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
K. Duncan (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by D. Vanzeir, assisted by W. Carmona
1-0
25'
Yellow Card
J. Tolkin (New York Red Bulls) cautioned

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NY Red Bulls vs. Miami: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. Miami prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Miami
  • Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +280, Miami -115, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-170/+138)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 26.0%
  • Miami: 50.9%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY Red Bulls 1-1 Miami, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.0% probability, while Miami sits at 50.9%, with the draw at 23.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. Miami prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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