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Sporting KC vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Sporting KC vs. San Jose at the MLS on April 15, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Sporting KC
0
3
Apr 16, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
Apr 16, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
C. Espinoza (9')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ebobisse (pen.) (40')
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J. Ebobisse (51')
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R. Castellanos (38')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SKC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces J. Ebobisse
89'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Beason replaces J. Mensah
83'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Kikanovic replaces C. Cowell
82'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: Judson replaces C. Gruezo
77'
Yellow Card
C. Gruezo (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Thompson replaces J. Monteiro
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: C. Duke replaces G. Zusi
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Tzionis replaces J. Russell
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Shelton replaces D. Salloi
60'
Yellow Card
C. Espinoza (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Ebobisse
0-3
48'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: W. Agada replaces F. Hernandez
41'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: A. Fontas replaces A. Pulido
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Ebobisse (pen.)
0-2
38'
Red Card
R. Castellanos (Sporting Kansas City) sent off with a straight red card
31'
Yellow Card
E. Thommy (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Espinoza
0-1

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Sporting KC vs. San Jose: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. San Jose prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, April 15, 2023
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sporting KC +285, San Jose +100, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-104)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 27.7%
  • San Jose: 46.2%
  • Draw: 26.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sporting KC 1-1 San Jose, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Sporting KC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.7% probability, while San Jose sits at 46.2%, with the draw at 26.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. San Jose prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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