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Philadelphia vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. Chicago at the MLS on April 15, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
2
:
2
Apr 16, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
Chicago
Apr 16, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
M. Haile-Selassie (19')
Soccer ball icon
N. Harriel (o.g.) (47')
Soccer ball icon
D. Gazdag (pen.) (63')
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J. Carranza (65')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
PHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces J. McGlynn
90'
Yellow Card
D. Gazdag (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
(Chicago Fire) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Casas replaces F. Herbers
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: G. Koutsias replaces K. Kamara
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: X. Shaqiri replaces B. Gutierrez
66'
Yellow Card
F. Herbers (Chicago Fire) cautioned
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Carranza
2-2
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Real replaces O. Mbaizo
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces M. Uhre
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Gazdag (pen.)
1-2
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Burks replaces C. Teran
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by N. Harriel (o.g.)
0-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces G. Gimenez
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by M. Haile-Selassie
0-1

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Philadelphia vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, April 15, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +180, Chicago +165, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-136)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 40.5%
  • Chicago: 32.5%
  • Draw: 27.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 Chicago, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 40.5% probability, while Chicago sits at 32.5%, with the draw at 27.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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