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Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on April 8, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
0
1
Apr 8, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
Apr 8, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
L. Acosta (pen.) (69')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: D. Badji replaces Brenner
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces A. Barreal
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. McGlynn replaces O. Mbaizo
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Santos replaces L. Acosta
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: R. Gaddis replaces S. Arias
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Carranza replaces J. Martinez
70'
Yellow Card
A. Blake (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by L. Acosta (pen.)
0-1
62'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: M. Pinto replaces M. Angulo
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Uhre replaces C. Donovan
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: D. Gazdag replaces Q. Sullivan
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces J. Bueno
48'
Yellow Card
Y. Mosquera (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
22'
Yellow Card
O. Mbaizo (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

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Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, April 8, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +430, Cincinnati -134, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-114/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 32.5%
  • Cincinnati: 42.6%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 32.5% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 42.6%, with the draw at 24.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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