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Houston vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Dallas MLS game on May 20, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
MLS
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MLS
Houston
1
:
1
May 21, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
Dallas
May 21, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
DallasFCD
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
J. Obrian (53')
T. Ulfarsson (85')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCD
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
HOU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
F. Escobar (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Jimenez replaces P. Pomykal
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Franco replaces A. Carrasquilla
85'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by T. Ulfarsson, assisted by H. Herrera
1-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Junqua replaces A. Velasco
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Smith replaces C. Gasper
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: C. Baird replaces A. Bassi
71'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: E. Cerrillo replaces T. Ntsabeleng
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Ulfarsson replaces S. Ferreira
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Quinones replaces A. Ibrahim
53'
Goal scored for FC Dallas by J. Obrian
0-1
25'
Yellow Card
C. Gasper (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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Houston vs. Dallas: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, May 20, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Houston +320, Dallas -110, Draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+105/-130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Houston: 19.3%
  • Dallas: 54.8%
  • Draw: 25.9%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Houston 0-1 Dallas, which has a correct score probability of 15%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Dallas a win probability of 54.8%, while Houston has a win probability of 19.3%. The chance of a draw is 25.9%.

Summary

Our Houston vs. Dallas predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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