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Montreal vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Montreal vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on April 29, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Montreal
2
0
Apr 30, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
Apr 30, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
B. Duke (35')
Soccer ball icon
M. Choiniere (45')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MTL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: R. O. Thorkelsson replaces C. Offor
90'
Yellow Card
M. Choiniere (CF Montreal) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Campbell replaces A. Lassiter
75'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Saliba replaces S. Rea
75'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: I. Sunusi replaces B. Duke
65'
Yellow Card
J. Waterman (CF Montreal) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: G. Kinda replaces E. Thommy
57'
Yellow Card
R. Espinoza (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
53'
Yellow Card
A. Pulido (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Castellanos replaces R. Voloder
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by M. Choiniere
2-0
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by B. Duke
1-0
30'
Yellow Card
D. Rosero (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
27'
Yellow Card
V. Wanyama (CF Montreal) cautioned

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Montreal vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Montreal vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, April 29, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +375, Sporting KC -135, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-103)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Montreal: 23.4%
  • Sporting KC: 52.6%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Montreal 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Montreal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 23.4% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 52.6%, with the draw at 24.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Montreal vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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