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Toluca vs. Club America Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Toluca vs. Club America at the Liga MX on April 13, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Toluca
1
5
Apr 14, 1:05AM Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Club America
Apr 14, 1:05AM Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Club AmericaAME
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
D. Valdes (9')
Soccer ball icon
H. Martin (15')
Soccer ball icon
D. Valdes (26')
Soccer ball icon
J. Quinones (73')
Soccer ball icon
J. Quinones (82')
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J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (14')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
AME
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Fidalgo (Club America) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
J. Quinones (Club America) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Club America: S. Naveda replaces J. dos Santos
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club America by J. Quinones, assisted by B. Rodriguez
1-5
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: T. Belmonte replaces C. Baeza
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Club America: B. Rodriguez replaces H. Martin
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Club America: R. Sanchez replaces D. Valdes
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club America by J. Quinones
1-4
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Club America: R. Juarez replaces I. Lichnovsky
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Club America: J. Quinones replaces J. Dilrosun
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces C. Orrantia
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces J. Angulo
50'
Yellow Card
I. Lichnovsky (Club America) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
J. Escobar (Toluca) cautioned
26'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club America by D. Valdes, assisted by A. Fidalgo
1-3
19'
Yellow Card
C. Calderon (Club America) cautioned
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club America by H. Martin, assisted by D. Valdes
1-2
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco, assisted by A. Vega
1-1
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club America by D. Valdes, assisted by H. Martin
0-1

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Toluca vs. Club America: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Toluca vs. Club America prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Club America
  • Date: Saturday, April 13, 2024
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Azteca
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toluca +340, Club America -130, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-136/+118)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Toluca: 19.5%
  • Club America: 57.8%
  • Draw: 22.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Toluca 0-1 Club America, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Toluca is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.5% probability, while Club America sits at 57.8%, with the draw at 22.7%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Toluca vs. Club America prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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