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Puebla vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Puebla vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on April 6, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
2
3
Apr 7, 1:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Apr 7, 1:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
Chicharito (34')
Soccer ball icon
E. Gutierrez (57')
Soccer ball icon
R. Alvarado (59')
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D. De Buen (89')
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A. Herrera (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PBL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
B. Angulo (Puebla) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
(Puebla) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
C. Cisneros (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by A. Herrera
2-3
90'
Yellow Card
A. Mozo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by D. De Buen, assisted by S. Olmedo
1-3
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Padilla replaces F. Beltran
81'
Yellow Card
M. Barragan (Puebla) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: C. Cisneros replaces I. Brizuela
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: V. Guzman replaces R. Alvarado
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Cavallini replaces S. Ormeno
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Robles replaces G. Ferrareis
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: M. Barragan replaces M. Sansores
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: F. Navarro replaces P. Gonzalez
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado
0-3
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by E. Gutierrez, assisted by F. Beltran
0-2
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: P. Perez replaces C. Cowell
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces Chicharito
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Garcia replaces K. Velasco
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by Chicharito, assisted by R. Alvarado
0-1

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Puebla vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Puebla vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, April 6, 2024
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +750, Guadalajara -285, draw +450

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Puebla: 12.4%
  • Guadalajara: 70.4%
  • Draw: 17.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Puebla 0-2 Guadalajara, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Puebla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 12.4% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 70.4%, with the draw at 17.1%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Puebla vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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