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Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Liga MX game on March 2, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Tigres UANL
1
2
Mar 2, 11PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Mar 2, 11PM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
A. Vega (54')
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (71')
J. Herrera (35')
S. Cordova (45')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UANL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. I. Lopez Rodriguez (Toluca) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces A. Vega
76'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Brunetta replaces F. Gorriaran
71'
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
1-2
68'
Yellow Card
J. Sanchez (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Angulo replaces J. Garza
65'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Vigon replaces J. Herrera
56'
Yellow Card
N. Guzman (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
54'
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega, assisted by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
1-1
52'
Yellow Card
A. Vega (Toluca) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
G. Pizarro (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Araujo replaces C. Orrantia
46'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Sanchez replaces M. Flores
45'
Red Card
S. Cordova (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) sent off with a straight red card
41'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces T. Belmonte
35'
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by J. Herrera, assisted by J. Garza
1-0

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Tigres UANL vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, March 2, 2024
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Tigres UANL +290, Toluca -110, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-127/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 29.8%
  • Toluca: 44.4%
  • Draw: 25.8%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Tigres UANL 1-1 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 44.4%, while Tigres UANL has a win probability of 29.8%. The chance of a draw is 25.8%.

Summary

Our Tigres UANL vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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