Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on February 24, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Pumas UNAM
1
3
Feb 25, 1:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Feb 25, 1:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
C. Cowell (53')
Soccer ball icon
A. Briseno (68')
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V. Guzman (80')
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E. Salvio (pen.) (74')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UNAM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Chicharito replaces F. Beltran
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Chavez Garcia replaces C. Cowell
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by V. Guzman, assisted by R. Alvarado
1-3
75'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Gutierrez replaces U. Rivas
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by E. Salvio (pen.)
1-2
74'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Tabo replaces R. Lopez
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Briseno, assisted by V. Guzman
0-2
63'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Ergas replaces P. Monroy
63'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: A. Aldrete replaces J. Galindo
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by C. Cowell, assisted by A. Mozo
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. S. Huerta Valera replaces P. A. Quispe Cordova

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Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, February 24, 2024
  • Time: 8:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +240, Guadalajara +115, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-112/-115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 29.8%
  • Guadalajara: 44.2%
  • Draw: 26.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Guadalajara, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.8% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 44.2%, with the draw at 26.1%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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