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Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM at the Liga MX on January 31, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Necaxa
2
:
2
Feb 1, 3AM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Pumas UNAM
Feb 1, 3AM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
U. Rivas (42')
Soccer ball icon
L. Magallan (52')
Soccer ball icon
E. Mendez (49')
Soccer ball icon
J. Paradela (54')
Soccer ball icon
E. Fentanes (62')
Red Card icon
J. Cortes (80')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
UNAM
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
NEC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
84'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: S. Lopez replaces A. Aldrete
81'
Yellow Card
R. Monreal (Necaxa) cautioned
80'
Red Card
J. Cortes (Necaxa) sent off for a second yellow card
79'
Yellow Card
J. Cortes (Necaxa) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces B. Garnica
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Cortes replaces J. Paradela
75'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Gutierrez replaces P. Bennevendo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Ergas replaces P. A. Quispe Cordova
64'
Yellow Card
L. Magallan (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
62'
Red Card
E. Fentanes (Necaxa) sent off with a straight red card
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez replaces E. Mendez
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Paradela, assisted by R. Monreal
2-2
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by L. Magallan, assisted by E. Salvio
1-2
49'
Yellow Card
J. Paradela (Necaxa) cautioned
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by E. Mendez
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces E. Martinez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: D. Gomez replaces A. Colorado
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by U. Rivas
0-1

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Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Wednesday, January 31, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Olímpico Universitario
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +450, Pumas UNAM -145, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-117)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Necaxa: 18.3%
  • Pumas UNAM: 58.4%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Necaxa 0-1 Pumas UNAM, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.3% probability, while Pumas UNAM sits at 58.4%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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