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Toluca vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Puebla Liga MX game on January 26, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
1
:
1
Jan 27, 1AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
Puebla
Jan 27, 1AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
F. Navarro (23')
R. Morales (45')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PBL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Orona replaces S. Olmedo
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: G. Carabajal replaces K. Velasco
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: T. Belmonte replaces J. Meneses
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces M. Ruiz
70'
Yellow Card
F. Pereira (Toluca) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: B. A. Garcia Caprizo replaces C. Orrantia
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces M. Araujo
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Robles replaces M. Sansores
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: M. Barragan replaces L. Cavallini
63'
Yellow Card
K. Velasco (Puebla) cautioned
63'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
56'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
54'
Yellow Card
D. De Buen (Puebla) cautioned
45'
Goal scored for Toluca by R. Morales, assisted by J. Meneses
1-1
42'
Yellow Card
M. Sansores (Puebla) cautioned
36'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces A. Mora
29'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Garcia replaces D. Alvarez
23'
Goal scored for Puebla by F. Navarro
0-1

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Toluca vs. Puebla: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, January 26, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio CuauhtĂ©moc

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca -105, Puebla +245, Draw +300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 45.3%
  • Puebla: 31.4%
  • Draw: 23.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Puebla, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Puebla a win probability of 31.4%, while Toluca has a win probability of 45.3%. The chance of a draw is 23.2%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Puebla predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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