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Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL at the Liga MX on December 10, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Pumas UNAM
1
:
1
Dec 11, 2AM Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León (San Nicolás de los Garza)
Tigres UANL
Dec 11, 2AM Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León (San Nicolás de los Garza)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
J. Vigon (24')
Soccer ball icon
G. Fernandez (16')
Soccer ball icon
P. Bennevendo (80')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
UANL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
UNAM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
C. Tabo (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: S. E. Fierro Gonzalez replaces F. Gorriaran
87'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Tabo replaces G. Del Prete
87'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Gutierrez replaces R. Lopez
83'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: A. Gignac replaces N. Ibanez
82'
Yellow Card
F. Gorriaran (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: R. Fulgencio replaces D. Lainez
80'
Red Card
P. Bennevendo (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) sent off with a straight red card
74'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Herrera replaces J. Vigon
60'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: J. Dinenno replaces E. Salvio
60'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Ergas replaces A. Aldrete
59'
Yellow Card
D. Lainez (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
58'
Yellow Card
G. Del Prete (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
28'
Yellow Card
C. S. Huerta Valera (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by J. Vigon, assisted by S. Cordova
1-1
16'
Penalty missed by C. S. Huerta Valera for U.N.A.M.- Pumas
16'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by G. Fernandez, assisted by P. Bennevendo
1-0
10'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Lopez replaces J. Molina

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Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Sunday, December 10, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +350, Tigres UANL -120, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-113)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 21.6%
  • Tigres UANL: 54.3%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Pumas UNAM 0-1 Tigres UANL, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.6% probability, while Tigres UANL sits at 54.3%, with the draw at 24.2%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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