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Pachuca vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Pachuca vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on September 23, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Pachuca
0
:
0
Sep 24, 1AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Sep 24, 1AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
PAC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
G. Sepulveda (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
G. Cabral (Pachuca) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
S. D. Barreto (Pachuca) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Brigido replaces R. Cisneros
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: J. Marchand replaces E. Montiel
81'
Penalty missed by I. Hernandez for Pachuca
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces M. Hinestroza
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Vega replaces J. Padilla
66'
Yellow Card
C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: V. Guzman replaces R. Marin
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: I. Hernandez replaces R. de la Rosa
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: David Terans replaces B. Gonzalez

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Pachuca vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Pachuca vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pachuca +240, Guadalajara +120, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Pachuca: 28.9%
  • Guadalajara: 45.6%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Pachuca 1-1 Guadalajara, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 28.9% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 45.6%, with the draw at 25.5%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Pachuca vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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