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Puebla vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Puebla vs. Atlas at the Liga MX on September 28, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
3
2
Sep 29, 2AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Atlas
Sep 29, 2AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlasATL
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
J. Zapata (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. Caicedo (60')
Soccer ball icon
D. De Buen (2')
Soccer ball icon
C. Baltazar (10')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (pen.) (74')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PBL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Rodriguez (Puebla) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Garcia replaces K. Velasco
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Orona replaces S. Olmedo
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: M. Manotas replaces J. Caicedo
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: C. Trejo replaces A. Rocha
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: A. Marquez replaces J. Zapata
78'
Yellow Card
J. Caicedo (Atlas) cautioned
77'
Yellow Card
G. Martinez (Puebla) cautioned
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by G. Martinez (pen.)
3-2
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by J. Caicedo, assisted by J. L. Guzman Rodriguez
2-2
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. de los Santos replaces C. Baltazar
51'
Yellow Card
G. Ferrareis (Puebla) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: E. Aguirre replaces A. Solari
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: M. E. Garcia replaces J. Martinez
45'
Yellow Card
B. Angulo (Puebla) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by J. Zapata, assisted by J. L. Guzman Rodriguez
2-1
23'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: G. Carabajal replaces D. Alvarez
10'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by C. Baltazar, assisted by B. Angulo
2-0
2'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by D. De Buen, assisted by G. Ferrareis
1-0

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Puebla vs. Atlas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Puebla vs. Atlas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Atlas
  • Date: Thursday, September 28, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +475, Atlas -167, draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-136/+110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Puebla: 19.2%
  • Atlas: 59.5%
  • Draw: 21.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Puebla 1-1 Atlas, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Puebla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.2% probability, while Atlas sits at 59.5%, with the draw at 21.3%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Puebla vs. Atlas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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