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Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna at the La Liga on May 19, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Osasuna
4
1
May 19, 5PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
May 19, 5PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
OsasunaOSA
A. Morata (55')
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R. Garcia (26')
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A. Oroz (52')
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R. Garcia (64')
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L. Torro (88')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
OSA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
I. Munoz (Osasuna) cautioned
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by L. Torro, assisted by P. Ibanez
4-1
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Budimir replaces R. Garcia
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: J. Moncayola replaces R. Pena
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Vermeeren replaces Koke
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by R. Garcia, assisted by J. Areso
3-1
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Depay replaces S. Lino
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Mandava replaces C. Azpilicueta
59'
Yellow Card
A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
56'
Yellow Card
R. de Paul (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Morata, assisted by S. Lino
2-1
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces A. Correa
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Oroz
2-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Morata replaces Gabriel Paulista
35'
Yellow Card
Gabriel Paulista (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
31'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Oroz replaces R. Garcia
26'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by R. Garcia, assisted by A. Catena
1-0

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Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna
  • Date: Sunday, May 19, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -315, Osasuna +850, draw +450
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 67.1%
  • Osasuna: 13.2%
  • Draw: 19.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 2-0 Osasuna, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 67.1% probability, while Osasuna sits at 13.2%, with the draw at 19.7%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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