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Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna at the La Liga on May 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
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2
May 11, 7PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
May 11, 7PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
I. Williams (58')
A. Villalibre (90')
R. Garcia (40')
R. Garcia (48')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
R. Garcia (Osasuna) cautioned
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Villalibre
2-2
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Ares replaces N. Williams
Substitution for Osasuna: J. Cruz replaces P. Ibanez
Substitution for Osasuna: J. Moreno replaces J. Areso
Substitution for Osasuna: J. M. Arnaiz replaces R. Garcia
A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Oroz replaces R. Pena
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces A. Herrera
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Garcia replaces I. Muniain
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: B. Prados Diaz replaces M. Vesga
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Williams, assisted by A. Herrera
2-1
P. Ibanez (Osasuna) cautioned
Goal scored for Osasuna by R. Garcia
2-0
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Villalibre replaces A. Berenguer
A. Herrera (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Goal scored for Osasuna by R. Garcia, assisted by J. Mojica
1-0
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
J. Herrando (Osasuna) cautioned
Y. Berchiche (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
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Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna
- Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: San Mamés Barria
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -240, Osasuna +750, draw +360
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-104/-107)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Athletic Bilbao: 63.2%
- Osasuna: 14.6%
- Draw: 22.2%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna, with a probability of 14%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 63.2% probability, while Osasuna sits at 14.6%, with the draw at 22.2%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Osasuna prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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