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Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo at the La Liga on May 12, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
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May 12, 2:15PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
May 12, 2:15PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
R. de Paul (84')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Rodriguez replaces C. Starfelt
Substitution for Celta Vigo: A. Douvikas replaces D. Rodriguez
Substitution for Celta Vigo: L. de la Torre replaces J. Bamba
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Manquillo replaces U. Nunez
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by R. de Paul
0-1
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Mandava replaces R. Riquelme
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Depay replaces A. Griezmann
A. Witsel (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Celta Vigo: T. Allende replaces J. S. Larsen
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: P. Barrios replaces A. Correa
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. de Paul replaces S. Savic
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Morata replaces S. Lino
C. Starfelt (Celta Vigo) cautioned
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Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo
- Date: Sunday, May 12, 2024
- Time: 10:15 AM ET
- Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -250, Celta Vigo +700, draw +390
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-185/+130)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Atletico Madrid: 63.5%
- Celta Vigo: 16.0%
- Draw: 20.5%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 2-0 Celta Vigo, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 63.5% probability, while Celta Vigo sits at 16.0%, with the draw at 20.5%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Celta Vigo prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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