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Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid at the La Liga on February 18, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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Feb 18, 1PM Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
Feb 18, 1PM Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
R. de Tomas (pen.) (27')
Joselu (3')
D. Carvajal (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
D. Carvajal (Real Madrid) cautioned
D. Carvajal (Real Madrid) sent off for a second yellow card
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Guler replaces L. Modric
A. Garcia (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: S. Camello replaces A. Garcia
R. de Tomas (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Falcao replaces R. de Tomas
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Carvajal replaces Lucas
Substitution for Real Madrid: Rodrygo replaces B. Diaz
Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Kroos replaces E. Camavinga
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: K. Perez replaces U. Lopez
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: M. Crespo replaces O. Trejo
E. Camavinga (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. de Frutos replaces I. Palazon
I. Palazon (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
I. Balliu (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by R. de Tomas (pen.)
1-1
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Joselu, assisted by F. Valverde
1-0
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Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Sunday, February 18, 2024
- Time: 8:00 AM ET
- Venue: Estadio de Vallecas
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +460, Real Madrid -155, draw +310
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+106)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Rayo Vallecano: 19.9%
- Real Madrid: 57.2%
- Draw: 22.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Real Madrid, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.9% probability, while Real Madrid sits at 57.2%, with the draw at 22.9%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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