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Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves at the La Liga on October 29, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
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Oct 29, 8PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Oct 29, 8PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
R. Riquelme (26')
A. Morata (45')
A. Guevara (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Alaves by A. Guevara, assisted by I. Hagi
1-2
I. Hagi (Alaves) cautioned
Substitution for Alaves: C. Benavidez replaces A. Blanco
J. Oblak (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. M. Gimenez replaces M. Hermoso
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Azpilicueta replaces N. Molina
M. Hermoso (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Alaves: K. Garcia replaces S. Omorodion
R. Duarte (Alaves) cautioned
M. Llorente (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces A. Morata
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: P. Barrios replaces R. de Paul
Substitution for Alaves: I. Hagi replaces J. Guridi
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces L. Rioja
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Llorente replaces S. Niguez
Substitution for Alaves: J. Lopez replaces A. Sola
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Morata, assisted by Koke
0-2
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by R. Riquelme, assisted by A. Morata
0-1
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Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves
- Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -250, Alaves +850, draw +425
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-128/+112)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Atletico Madrid: 67.2%
- Alaves: 12.9%
- Draw: 19.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 2-0 Alaves, with a probability of 13%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 67.2% probability, while Alaves sits at 12.9%, with the draw at 19.9%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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