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Aston Villa vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Manchester City Premier League game on December 6, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
0
1
Dec 6, 8:15PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Dec 6, 8:15PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
L. Bailey (74')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MNC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces L. Digne
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces O. Watkins
87'
Yellow Card
B. Kamara (Aston Villa) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces Y. Tielemans
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Diaby replaces L. Bailey
74'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Bailey, assisted by Y. Tielemans
0-1
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: O. Bobb replaces P. Foden
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: M. Nunes replaces R. Lewis
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: M. Kovacic replaces J. Alvarez
60'
Yellow Card
O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned
53'
Yellow Card
R. Lewis (Manchester City) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
J. Stones (Manchester City) cautioned

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Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Wednesday, December 6, 2023
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +425, Manchester City -155, Draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-160/+133)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 16.1%
  • Manchester City: 63.9%
  • Draw: 20.0%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 0-2 Manchester City, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 16.1%, while Manchester City has a win probability of 63.9%. The chance of a draw is 20.0%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Manchester City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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