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Newcastle vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Manchester City Premier League game on May 14, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
4
3
May 14, 7PM St James' Park
May 14, 7PM St James' Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Krafth (25')
Joelinton (45') (P)
Willock (62')
Cancelo (39')
Torres (42')
Torres (64')
Torres (66')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.
Manchester City FC's Ilkay Gundogan misses with an attempt on goal.
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
Free kick Newcastle United FC.
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Kevin Friend.
Kevin Friend signals a throw-in for Manchester City FC, close to Newcastle United FC's area.
Free kick for Manchester City FC in their own half.
Manchester City FC to take a throw-in in Newcastle United FC territory.
Kevin Friend signals a free kick to Manchester City FC.
Dwight Gayle is replacing Federico Fernandez for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.
Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
Kevin Friend signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
The home team have replaced Joelinton with Jamal Lewis. This is the second substitution made today by Steve Bruce.
Steve Bruce is making the team's first substitution at St James' Park with Sean Longstaff replacing Matt Ritchie.
Kevin Friend awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
Ilkay Gundogan of Manchester City FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
Manchester City FC to take a throw-in in Newcastle United FC territory.
Pep Guardiola (Manchester City FC) is making a first substitution, with Benjamin Mendy replacing Joao Cancelo.
Ball goes out of play for a Manchester City FC goal kick.
Newcastle United FC are coming forward and Joseph Willock gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
Throw-in for Manchester City FC in their own half.
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
Manchester City FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Goal! Ferran Torres gives Manchester City FC a 3-4 lead.
4-3
Manchester City FC's Joelinton misses with an attempt on goal.
Kevin Friend signals a free kick to Manchester City FC in their own half.
Goal! The away team draw level at 3-3 through Ferran Torres.
3-3
Newcastle United FC take a 3-2 lead thanks to Joseph Willock.
2-3
Newcastle United FC are awarded a penalty ... Joseph Willock botches the spot kick!
Ferran Torres is back on the pitch.
Play has been interrupted briefly in Newcastle upon Tyne to check on Ferran Torres, who is grimacing with pain.
Jonjo Shelvey (Newcastle United FC) gets a yellow card.
Free kick for Manchester City FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
Newcastle United FC have been awarded a corner by Kevin Friend.
Free kick for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
Joao Cancelo for Manchester City FC has been booked by Kevin Friend and receives a first yellow card.
Jacob Murphy of Newcastle United FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
Kevin Friend awards the home team a throw-in.
Kevin Friend signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC in their own half.
In Newcastle upon Tyne a free kick has been awarded the away team.
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
Can Manchester City FC capitalize from this dangerous free kick?
The first-half is over at St James' Park.
Goal! The home team is awarded a penalty in Newcastle upon Tyne. Joelinton converts to level the scoring at 2-2.
2-2
Allan Saint-Maximin for the home team is judged to be offside.
Throw-in for Manchester City FC close to the penalty box.
Newcastle United FC needs to be cautious. Manchester City FC have an attacking throw-in.
It's a goal kick for the away team in Newcastle upon Tyne.
Joelinton for Newcastle United FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
At St James' Park, Rodri has been yellow-carded for the away team.
Free kick Newcastle United FC.
Goal! The away team take a 1-2 lead through Ferran Torres.
2-1
Free kick for Manchester City FC in the half of Newcastle United FC.
Joao Cancelo is on target to level the scores at 1-1.
1-1
Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
Matt Ritchie (Newcastle United FC) has received a first yellow card.
In Newcastle upon Tyne a free kick has been awarded the away team.
Manchester City FC's Rodri looks ok and returns to the pitch.
Ilkay Gundogan hits the bar! Nearly a goal there for Manchester City FC.
Kevin Friend waits before resuming play because Rodri for Manchester City FC is still down.
Kevin Friend signals a free kick to Newcastle United FC.
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Kevin Friend.
Manchester City FC drives forward and Ilkay Gundogan gets in a shot. Without netting, however.
Manchester City FC are in shooting range from this free kick.
Kevin Friend signals a Manchester City FC throw-in in Newcastle United FC's half.
Throw-in for Manchester City FC at St James' Park.
Throw-in Manchester City FC.
Newcastle United FC move into a 1-0 lead through a Emil Krafth header.
0-1
Newcastle United FC have been awarded a corner by Kevin Friend.
Corner awarded to Manchester City FC.
Manchester City FC have been awarded a corner by Kevin Friend.
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in the half of Manchester City FC.
Manchester City FC's Joao Cancelo is on target but unsuccessful.
Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.
Kevin Friend awards Newcastle United FC a goal kick.
Throw-in for Newcastle United FC in their own half.
Throw-in high up the field for Manchester City FC in Newcastle upon Tyne.
Can Manchester City FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Newcastle United FC's half?
Newcastle United FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
Newcastle United FC have a goal kick.
Manchester City FC's Ferran Torres breaks free at St James' Park. But the strike goes wide of the post.
It's a goal kick for the home team in Newcastle upon Tyne.
Manchester City FC are pushing forward but Gabriel Jesus's finish is wide of the goal.
Ball safe as Newcastle United FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
Ball goes out of play for a Newcastle United FC goal kick.
Gabriel Jesus of Manchester City FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
Throw-in for Manchester City FC at St James' Park.
Goal kick for Newcastle United FC at St James' Park.
In Newcastle upon Tyne Manchester City FC attack through Nathan Ake. The finish is off target, however.
Throw-in Newcastle United FC.
Kevin Friend awards the home team a throw-in.
Federico Fernandez gets his shot on target but fails to score for Newcastle United FC.
Corner awarded to Newcastle United FC.
Newcastle United FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
Can Newcastle United FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Manchester City FC's half?
The first-half is now underway.
Match Stats
| MATCH STATS | |
|---|
| 14 | Shots | 11 | |||
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 | |||
| 82% | Possession % | 18% | |||
| 10 | Fouls | 11 | |||
| 2 | Yellow Cards | 2 | |||
| 0 | Red Cards | 0 | |||
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| |
|---|
| 14 | Shots | 11 | |||
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 | |||
| 82% | Possession % | 18% | |||
| 10 | Fouls | 11 | |||
| 2 | Yellow Cards | 2 | |||
| 0 | Red Cards | 0 | |||
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
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Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Newcastle vs. Manchester City
- Date: Friday, May 14, 2021
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: St James' Park
Current Betting Odds
- Moneyline Odds: Newcastle +800, Manchester City -303, Draw +475
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Newcastle: 14.6%
- Manchester City: 66.9%
- Draw: 18.5%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Newcastle 0-2 Manchester City, which has a correct score probability of 11%.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Newcastle a win probability of 14.6%, while Manchester City has a win probability of 66.9%. The chance of a draw is 18.5%.
Summary
Our Newcastle vs. Manchester City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.
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