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Burnley vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Leeds Premier League game on May 15, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
4
0
May 15, 11:30AM Turf Moor
May 15, 11:30AM Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Klich (44')
Harrison (58')
Moreno (77')
Moreno (79')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Jay Rodriguez for the home team is judged to be offside.
Leeds United's Tyler Roberts is on target but unsuccessful.
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
Goal kick for Leeds United at Turf Moor.
Graham Scott blows against Leeds United's Kalvin Phillips for offside.
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Graham Scott.
Throw-in for Burnley FC close to the penalty box.
Leeds United drive forward but Rodrigo Moreno is judged offside.
Graham Scott signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
Leeds United awarded a free kick in their own half.
Burnley FC's Ashley Barnes gets his shot away but it misses the target.
Leeds United have a goal kick.
Jay Rodriguez for Burnley FC drives towards goal at Turf Moor. But the finish is unsuccessful.
Burnley FC are coming forward and James Tarkowski gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
Ball goes out of play for a Leeds United goal kick.
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
Marcelo Bielsa is making the team's third substitution at Turf Moor with Ian Poveda replacing Raphinha.
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
Leeds United take a comfortable 0-4 lead thanks to Rodrigo Moreno.
4-0
Can Burnley FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Leeds United's half?
Goal! Leeds United extend their lead to 0-3 through Rodrigo Moreno.
3-0
The away team have replaced Mateusz Klich with Tyler Roberts. This is the second substitution made today by Marcelo Bielsa.
Graham Scott signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
Johann Gudmundsson of Burnley FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
Goal kick for Burnley FC at Turf Moor.
Leeds United awarded a free kick in their own half.
It's a goal kick for the home team in Burnley.
Sean Dyche (Burnley FC) is making a third substitution, with Johann Gudmundsson replacing Dwight McNeil.
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
Graham Scott signals a Leeds United throw-in in Burnley FC's half.
Burnley FC make their second substitution with Ashley Barnes replacing Chris Wood.
The home team replace Matej Vydra with Jay Rodriguez.
At Turf Moor, Ashley Westwood has been yellow-carded for the home team.
Free kick for Leeds United in the half of Burnley FC.
Burnley FC's Ashley Westwood misses with an attempt on goal.
Graham Scott awards Leeds United a goal kick.
Kalvin Phillips (Leeds United) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.
Graham Scott signals a free kick to Burnley FC.
Graham Scott awards the away team a throw-in.
Throw-in for Burnley FC in the half of Leeds United.
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Graham Scott.
It's now 0-2 in Burnley as Jack Harrison scores for Leeds United.
2-0
Rodrigo Moreno is replacing Patrick Bamford for Leeds United at Turf Moor.
Burnley FC are pushing forward but Chris Wood's finish is wide of the goal.
Leeds United have a goal kick.
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Graham Scott.
Burnley FC's Matej Vydra gets in a shot on goal at Turf Moor. But the effort is unsuccessful.
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Graham Scott signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
Throw-in Burnley FC.
Can Leeds United get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Burnley FC's half?
Burnley FC are pushing forward but Ashley Westwood's finish is wide of the goal.
Leeds United have a goal kick.
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
Burnley FC to take a throw-in in Leeds United territory.
It's a goal kick for the away team in Burnley.
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
In Burnley a free kick has been awarded the home team.
Throw-in for Burnley FC at Turf Moor.
Ball safe as Leeds United is awarded a throw-in in their half.
The first-half has come to a close in Burnley.
In Burnley Burnley FC drive forward through Ashley Westwood. His shot is on target but it's saved.
Free kick for Burnley FC in the half of Leeds United.
In Burnley Leeds United's Patrick Bamford is caught offside.
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
Mateusz Klich is on target to give Leeds United a 0-1 advantage.
1-0
Graham Scott signals a throw-in for Burnley FC, close to Leeds United's area.
Graham Scott signals a Burnley FC throw-in in Leeds United's half.
Leeds United awarded a throw-in in their own half.
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
Graham Scott awards the away team a throw-in.
Leeds United's Raphinha breaks free at Turf Moor. But the strike goes wide of the post.
Ball goes out of play for a Burnley FC goal kick.
Graham Scott signals a free kick to Burnley FC in their own half.
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Corner awarded to Leeds United.
Throw-in high up the field for Leeds United in Burnley.
Raphinha of Leeds United is pulled up for offside.
Leeds United's Ezgjan Alioski misses with an attempt on goal.
Can Burnley FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Leeds United's half?
In Burnley, Pascal Struijk (Leeds United) misses the target with a header.
Goal kick for Burnley FC at Turf Moor.
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Graham Scott.
Ball safe as Leeds United is awarded a throw-in in their half.
Graham Scott awards Leeds United a goal kick.
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Graham Scott.
Corner awarded to Leeds United.
Corner awarded to Leeds United.
Can Leeds United capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Burnley FC's half?
Diego Llorente is back on his feet again.
Graham Scott signals a free kick to Leeds United just outside Burnley FC's area.
Graham Scott waits before resuming play because Diego Llorente for Leeds United is still down.
Burnley FC needs to be cautious. Leeds United have an attacking throw-in.
Leeds United have been awarded a corner by Graham Scott.
Throw-in for Burnley FC in their own half.
Ball goes out of play for a Burnley FC goal kick.
Free kick for Leeds United in their own half.
Free kick Burnley FC.
Leeds United are coming forward and Stuart Dallas gets in a strike, it misses the target, however.
It's a goal kick for the home team in Burnley.
Leeds United awarded a throw-in in their own half.
Goal kick for Leeds United at Turf Moor.
Jack Harrison for the away team is judged to be offside.
Graham Scott signals a free kick to Leeds United in their own half.
Graham Scott blows against Leeds United's Patrick Bamford for offside.
Graham Scott signals a free kick to Leeds United.
Patrick Bamford gets his shot on target but fails to score for Leeds United.
Throw-in for Leeds United at Turf Moor.
Burnley FC have a dangerous throw-in.
Leeds United have a goal kick.
Burnley FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
Throw-in for Burnley FC in the half of Leeds United.
Burnley FC's Matej Vydra is whistled for offside at Turf Moor.
Graham Scott awards Leeds United a goal kick.
Josh Brownhill of Burnley FC gets in a strike, but is off target.
Throw-in Leeds United.
Corner awarded to Burnley FC.
Burnley FC have been awarded a corner by Graham Scott.
Burnley FC to take a throw-in in Leeds United territory.
Today's referee, Graham Scott, has blown to start the match.
Match Stats
| MATCH STATS | |
|---|
| 16 | Shots | 14 | |||
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 | |||
| 52% | Possession % | 48% | |||
| 10 | Fouls | 10 | |||
| 1 | Yellow Cards | 1 | |||
| 0 | Red Cards | 0 | |||
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| |
|---|
| 16 | Shots | 14 | |||
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 | |||
| 52% | Possession % | 48% | |||
| 10 | Fouls | 10 | |||
| 1 | Yellow Cards | 1 | |||
| 0 | Red Cards | 0 | |||
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
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Burnley vs. Leeds: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Burnley vs. Leeds
- Date: Saturday, May 15, 2021
- Time: 7:30 AM ET
- Venue: Turf Moor
Current Betting Odds
- Moneyline Odds: Burnley +255, Leeds +100, Draw +285
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-167/+133)
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Burnley: 34.8%
- Leeds: 39.9%
- Draw: 25.3%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 1-1 Leeds, which has a correct score probability of 9%.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 34.8%, while Leeds has a win probability of 39.9%. The chance of a draw is 25.3%.
Summary
Our Burnley vs. Leeds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.
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