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Chelsea vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Arsenal Premier League game on May 12, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
1
0
May 12, 7:15PM Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
May 12, 7:15PM Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
Smith-Rowe (16')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ARS
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
It's a goal kick for the away team in London.
90'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
90'
Yellow Card
Thomas Partey for Arsenal FC has been booked by Andre Marriner and receives a first yellow card.
90'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
90'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
90'
Can Chelsea FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Arsenal FC's half?
90'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
90'
Arsenal FC to take a throw-in in Chelsea FC territory.
90'
Christian Pulisic for Chelsea FC is whistled offside.
90'
Chelsea FC apply pressure and a brilliant scoring opportunity is created for Christian Pulisic. But the ball crashes against the crossbar!
90'
In London Chelsea FC attack through Callum Hudson-Odoi. The finish is off target, however.
90'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
88'
Substitution
The away team has substituted Hector Bellerin with Calum Chambers. Mikel Arteta is thus making his third change.
87'
Hector Bellerin is down and play has been interrupted for a few moments.
86'
In London Chelsea FC drive forward through Christian Pulisic. His shot is on target but it's saved.
86'
Hector Bellerin for Arsenal FC is back on the field again.
85'
Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
85'
Ball goes out of play for a Arsenal FC goal kick.
85'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
83'
Attention is being given to Arsenal FC’s Hector Bellerin and play has been suspended briefly.
81'
It's a goal kick for the away team in London.
81'
Olivier Giroud (Chelsea FC) is first to the ball but his header is off-target.
80'
Chelsea FC drive forward but Olivier Giroud is judged offside.
79'
Substitution
Alexandre Lacazette is on a sub for Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang for Arsenal FC.
79'
Andre Marriner awards Arsenal FC a goal kick.
78'
Substitution
Thomas Tuchel is making the team's third substitution at Stamford Bridge with Hakim Ziyech replacing Cesar Azpilicueta.
78'
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Arsenal FC in their own half.
76'
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Arsenal FC.
76'
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.
75'
Andre Marriner awards the away team a throw-in.
74'
Arsenal FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
73'
Arsenal FC have a goal kick.
71'
In London Arsenal FC attack through Martin Odegaard. The finish is off target, however.
71'
Goal kick for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
70'
Andre Marriner signals a Chelsea FC throw-in in Arsenal FC's half.
69'
Chelsea FC's Kurt Zouma misses with an attempt on goal.
69'
It's a goal kick for the away team in London.
69'
Substitution
Olivier Giroud is replacing Kai Havertz for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
68'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
68'
Kurt Zouma for Chelsea FC gets in a strike but fails to hit the target.
68'
Arsenal FC have a goal kick.
67'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
67'
Hector Bellerin gets his shot on target but fails to score for Arsenal FC.
65'
Substitution
Arsenal FC make their first substitution with Hector Bellerin replacing Bukayo Saka.
65'
Callum Hudson-Odoi of Chelsea FC is pulled up for offside.
64'
Goal kick for Arsenal FC at Stamford Bridge.
64'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC at Stamford Bridge.
63'
Free kick Chelsea FC.
63'
Can Chelsea FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Arsenal FC's half?
63'
Throw-in Chelsea FC.
62'
In London Chelsea FC's Christian Pulisic is caught offside.
61'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
59'
Arsenal FC’s Kieran Tierney is on his feet again at Stamford Bridge.
58'
The match at Stamford Bridge has been interrupted briefly for a check on Kieran Tierney, who is down injured.
58'
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Chelsea FC in their own half.
57'
Arsenal FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
56'
A throw-in for the home team on the opposite half.
55'
Chelsea FC's Callum Hudson-Odoi gets his shot away but it misses the target.
55'
Ball goes out of play for a Arsenal FC goal kick.
54'
Throw-in Arsenal FC.
53'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
48'
Chelsea FC to take a throw-in in Arsenal FC territory.
48'
Arsenal FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
45'
Substitution
The home team replace Billy Gilmour with Callum Hudson-Odoi.
45'
The whistle has gone to end the first-half.
45'
Arsenal FC have a dangerous throw-in.
45'
In London a free kick has been awarded the home team.
45'
Free kick for Chelsea FC in their own half.
45'
Andre Marriner awards Chelsea FC a goal kick.
41'
Can Arsenal FC get the ball into an attacking position from this throw-in in Chelsea FC's half?
40'
Arsenal FC awarded a free kick in their own half.
38'
Arsenal FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
37'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
37'
Chelsea FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
35'
It's a goal kick for the home team in London.
32'
Chelsea FC's Christian Pulisic attacks the ball with his head but his effort fails to hit the target.
32'
Ball goes out of play for a Arsenal FC goal kick.
31'
Corner awarded to Chelsea FC.
30'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC in their own half.
29'
Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
28'
Andre Marriner signals a Chelsea FC throw-in in Arsenal FC's half.
28'
Mason Mount of Chelsea FC smashes in a shot on target. The keeper saves, though.
27'
Can Chelsea FC capitalize from this throw-in deep inside Arsenal FC's half?
26'
Arsenal FC have a goal kick.
26'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC close to the penalty box.
25'
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang returns to the field for Arsenal FC after picking up a slight injury.
24'
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is writhing in pain and play has been suspended for a few moments.
24'
Arsenal FC needs to be cautious. Chelsea FC have an attacking throw-in.
22'
Andre Marriner awards the away team a throw-in.
20'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC at Stamford Bridge.
19'
Andre Marriner signals a free kick to Arsenal FC in their own half.
18'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC in their own half.
18'
Chelsea FC to take a throw-in in Arsenal FC territory.
16'
Emile Smith-Rowe scores to make it 0-1 at Stamford Bridge.
1-0
16'
Arsenal FC pushes forward through Mason Mount, whose finish on goal is saved.
14'
Throw-in Chelsea FC.
14'
Andre Marriner awards Chelsea FC a goal kick.
14'
Arsenal FC are in shooting range from this free kick.
13'
A throw-in for the away team on the opposite half.
13'
Arsenal FC have been awarded a corner by Andre Marriner.
12'
Throw-in for Arsenal FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
12'
Throw-in for Chelsea FC at Stamford Bridge.
11'
Chelsea FC's Kai Havertz breaks free at Stamford Bridge. But the strike goes wide of the post.
11'
Goal kick for Arsenal FC at Stamford Bridge.
10'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in the half of Chelsea FC.
10'
Throw-in high up the field for Arsenal FC in London.
9'
Bukayo Saka for the away team is judged to be offside.
8'
Arsenal FC's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is whistled for offside at Stamford Bridge.
8'
Free kick for Arsenal FC in their own half.
6'
Ball safe as Chelsea FC is awarded a throw-in in their half.
6'
Chelsea FC's Mason Mount gets in a shot on goal at Stamford Bridge. But the effort is unsuccessful.
4'
Andre Marriner signals a throw-in for Chelsea FC, close to Arsenal FC's area.
4'
Arsenal FC awarded a throw-in in their own half.
2'
Andre Marriner awards the home team a throw-in.
1'
Today's referee, Andre Marriner, has blown to start the match.
Match Stats
Arsenal
MATCH STATS
Chelsea
6 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
37% Possession % 63%
7 Fouls 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
1 Corners 9
Arsenal[object Object]
Chelsea[object Object]
6 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
37% Possession % 63%
7 Fouls 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
1 Corners 9

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Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Wednesday, May 12, 2021
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chelsea -110, Arsenal +360, Draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+115/-149)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 51.8%
  • Arsenal: 22.3%
  • Draw: 25.9%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 1-0 Arsenal, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 51.8%, while Arsenal has a win probability of 22.3%. The chance of a draw is 25.9%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Arsenal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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