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Minnesota vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Minnesota vs. Toluca at the SLC on August 8, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
SLC
FINAL
SLC
3
2
Aug 9, 12AM Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
Aug 9, 12AM Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
V. Huerta (66')
Tiago Volpi (pen.) (75')
J. Rosales (13')
B. Hlongwane (32')
H. Dotson (73')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces M. Ruiz
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces M. Araujo
W. Trapp (Minnesota United) cautioned
(Toluca) cautioned
F. Navarro (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Minnesota United: S. Jeong replaces T. Pukki
Substitution for Minnesota United: E. Bristow replaces F. Fragapane
Goal scored for Toluca by Tiago Volpi (pen.)
2-2
J. Rosales (Minnesota United) cautioned
H. Dotson (Minnesota United) sent off for a second yellow card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
Goal scored for Toluca by V. Huerta
2-1
D. St.Clair (Minnesota United) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
H. Dotson (Minnesota United) cautioned
Goal scored for Minnesota United by B. Hlongwane, assisted by F. Fragapane
2-0
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Toluca) cautioned
Goal scored for Minnesota United by J. Rosales, assisted by E. Reynoso
1-0
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Minnesota vs. Toluca: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Minnesota vs. Toluca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all SLC matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Minnesota vs. Toluca
- Date: Tuesday, August 8, 2023
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Allianz Field
- Tournament: SLC
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Minnesota +100, Toluca +230, draw +310
Dimers' win probabilities
- Minnesota: 32.5%
- Toluca: 44.1%
- Draw: 23.4%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Minnesota 1-1 Toluca, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Minnesota is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 32.5% probability, while Toluca sits at 44.1%, with the draw at 23.4%.
For full access to SLC predictions, probabilities, and tools such as SLC best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Minnesota vs. Toluca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the SLC and the latest SLC news.
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