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San Jose vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Jose vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on October 25, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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San Jose
0
1
Oct 26, 1:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
Oct 26, 1:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SJ
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Espinoza replaces N. Radoja
87'
Yellow Card
Judson (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Tsakiris replaces J. Monteiro
85'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: Judson replaces C. Gruezo
80'
Yellow Card
J. Skahan (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Trauco replaces P. Marie
77'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces J. Ebobisse
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: G. Kinda replaces R. Walter
59'
Yellow Card
A. Fontas (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: C. Cowell replaces M. Hoppe
55'
Yellow Card
M. Hoppe (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned

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San Jose vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Jose vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Wednesday, October 25, 2023
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +325, Sporting KC -125, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-159/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Jose: 22.4%
  • Sporting KC: 54.7%
  • Draw: 22.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Jose 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Jose is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.4% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 54.7%, with the draw at 22.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Jose vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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