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NY Red Bulls vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY Red Bulls vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on October 4, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY Red Bulls
2
1
Oct 4, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
Oct 4, 11:30PM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
L. Acosta (pen.) (68')
Soccer ball icon
A. Powell (88')
Red Card icon
F. Amaya (12')
Soccer ball icon
Elias Manoel (17')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NY
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Barreal (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
Carlos (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
K. Duncan (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
L. Acosta (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
88'
Red Card
A. Powell (FC Cincinnati) sent off for a second yellow card
86'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Yearwood replaces Luquinhas
82'
Yellow Card
M. Pinto (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: B. Vazquez replaces N. Hagglund
76'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: C. Burke replaces O. Fernandez
73'
Yellow Card
N. Hagglund (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: P. Stroud replaces C. Harper
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Nealis replaces J. Tolkin
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Fernandez replaces Elias Manoel
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by L. Acosta (pen.)
2-1
58'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: L. Acosta replaces M. Angulo
58'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Barreal replaces R. Gaddis
53'
Yellow Card
A. Reyes (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
A. Powell (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: I. Murphy replaces M. Miazga
46'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: M. Pinto replaces O. Nwobodo
27'
Yellow Card
R. Gaddis (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by Elias Manoel
2-0
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by F. Amaya, assisted by Luquinhas
1-0

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NY Red Bulls vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Wednesday, October 4, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +325, Cincinnati -120, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-128/+105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 20.5%
  • Cincinnati: 56.6%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY Red Bulls 0-1 Cincinnati, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 20.5% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 56.6%, with the draw at 22.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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