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Dallas vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Dallas vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on September 27, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Dallas
1
:
1
Sep 27, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
Sep 27, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
DallasFCD
Q. Sullivan (25')
Soccer ball icon
A. Velasco (36')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
FCD
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Twumasi (FC Dallas) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: E. Ansah replaces P. Pomykal
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: N. Harriel replaces O. Mbaizo
79'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Martinez replaces D. Sealy
79'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: A. Illarramendi replaces A. Velasco
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces M. Uhre
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: T. Baribo replaces A. Bedoya
68'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Ferreira replaces J. Jimenez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Arriola replaces J. Obrian
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by A. Velasco
1-1
28'
Yellow Card
A. Velasco (FC Dallas) cautioned
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by Q. Sullivan, assisted by K. Wagner
0-1
24'
Yellow Card
J. Bueno (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
21'
Yellow Card
O. Mbaizo (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

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Dallas vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Dallas vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Dallas vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Wednesday, September 27, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Dallas +370, Philadelphia -125, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+102)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Dallas: 18.3%
  • Philadelphia: 59.1%
  • Draw: 22.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Dallas 0-1 Philadelphia, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Dallas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.3% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 59.1%, with the draw at 22.6%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Dallas vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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