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NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United at the MLS on September 23, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY Red Bulls
5
3
Sep 23, 11:30PM Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
D.C. United
Sep 23, 11:30PM Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
C. Benteke (21')
Soccer ball icon
C. Benteke (36')
Soccer ball icon
C. Benteke (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
O. Fernandez (17')
Soccer ball icon
O. Fernandez (pen.) (44')
Soccer ball icon
C. Harper (45')
Soccer ball icon
S. Nealis (58')
Soccer ball icon
J. Tolkin (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
DC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NY
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Tolkin, assisted by Luquinhas
5-3
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: H. Ndam replaces F. Amaya
88'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: N. Robertha replaces B. Hines-Ike
86'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Yearwood replaces D. Edelman
83'
Yellow Card
C. Benteke (DC United) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: P. Stroud replaces Elias Manoel
72'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Nealis replaces O. Fernandez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: A. Najar replaces Ruan
68'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: C. Dajome replaces T. Ku-DiPietro
68'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: Y. Asad replaces C. Durkin
67'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Fajardo replaces Gabriel Pirani
66'
Yellow Card
D. Edelman (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
64'
Yellow Card
K. Duncan (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by S. Nealis, assisted by J. Tolkin
4-3
55'
Yellow Card
B. Hines-Ike (DC United) cautioned
47'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: Luquinhas replaces C. Harper
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by C. Benteke (pen.)
2-3
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by C. Harper, assisted by T. Barlow
3-3
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by O. Fernandez (pen.)
2-2
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by C. Benteke
1-2
25'
Yellow Card
R. Canouse (DC United) cautioned
21'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by C. Benteke
1-1
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by O. Fernandez, assisted by C. Harper
1-0

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NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +210, D.C. United +135, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-102/-105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 28.2%
  • D.C. United: 44.4%
  • Draw: 27.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY Red Bulls 1-1 D.C. United, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 28.2% probability, while D.C. United sits at 44.4%, with the draw at 27.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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