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Nashville vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Nashville vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on September 20, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Nashville
3
0
Sep 21, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
Sep 21, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
NashvilleNSH
F. Picault (29')
Soccer ball icon
H. Mukhtar (66')
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J. Maher (76')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NSH
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
S. Moore (Nashville SC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
D. Rosero (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Shaffelburg replaces F. Picault
82'
Yellow Card
T. Washinghton (Nashville SC) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: S. Surridge replaces S. Davis
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Washinghton replaces D. Lovitz
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Voloder replaces A. Fontas
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by J. Maher, assisted by H. Mukhtar
3-0
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Tzionis replaces J. Russell
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: F. Gutierrez replaces E. Thommy
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: W. Agada replaces A. Pulido
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces W. Zimmerman
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Anunga replaces A. Godoy
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by H. Mukhtar
2-0
52'
Yellow Card
A. Muyl (Nashville SC) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: G. Kinda replaces N. Radoja
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nashville SC by F. Picault, assisted by D. Lovitz
1-0

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Nashville vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Nashville vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Nashville vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Wednesday, September 20, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Nashville +290, Sporting KC -105, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-106/-103)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Nashville: 25.5%
  • Sporting KC: 49.0%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Nashville 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Nashville is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.5% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 49.0%, with the draw at 25.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Nashville vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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