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San Jose vs. Portland Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Jose vs. Portland at the MLS on September 20, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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San Jose
1
2
Sep 21, 2:30AM Providence Park (Portland, Oregon)
Portland
Sep 21, 2:30AM Providence Park (Portland, Oregon)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PortlandPOR
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
C. Paredes (45')
Soccer ball icon
Evander (58')
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M. Hoppe (60')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
POR
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SJ
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
C. Espinoza (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
D. Bingham (Portland Timbers) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: A. Akinola replaces P. Marie
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: D. Asprilla replaces S. Moreno
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: F. Mora replaces F. Boli
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: Y. Chara replaces Evander
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: A. Alves Santos replaces S. Blanco
62'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Mensah replaces Rodrigues
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by M. Hoppe
1-2
59'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Trauco replaces C. Akapo
59'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Tsakiris replaces C. Gruezo
59'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: C. Cowell replaces J. Monteiro
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by Evander
0-2
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by C. Paredes, assisted by B. Acosta
0-1
41'
Yellow Card
C. Paredes (Portland Timbers) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
C. Gruezo (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
P. Marie (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned

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San Jose vs. Portland: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Jose vs. Portland prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Portland
  • Date: Wednesday, September 20, 2023
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Providence Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +320, Portland -120, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-152/+135)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Jose: 25.2%
  • Portland: 51.5%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Jose 1-1 Portland, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Jose is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.2% probability, while Portland sits at 51.5%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Jose vs. Portland prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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