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Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on September 16, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Sep 16, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Sep 16, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
J. Martinez (23')
D. Gazdag (pen.) (37')
J. Elliott (90')
A. Boupendza (49')
B. Vazquez (76')
Y. Mosquera (83')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: R. Gaddis replaces S. Arias
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces D. Lowe
J. Elliott (Philadelphia Union) sent off for a second yellow card
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces A. Boupendza
T. Baribo (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Y. Mosquera (FC Cincinnati) sent off for a second yellow card
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by B. Vazquez
2-2
K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: T. Baribo replaces M. Uhre
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: D. Badji replaces Y. Kubo
J. Carranza (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces J. Martinez
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by A. Boupendza, assisted by Y. Kubo
1-2
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: I. Murphy replaces N. Hagglund
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Boupendza replaces S. Santos
N. Hagglund (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
D. Lowe (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Gazdag (pen.)
0-2
Y. Mosquera (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
R. Celentano (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Martinez, assisted by J. McGlynn
0-1
D. Gazdag (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
J. Elliott (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
M. Miazga (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
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Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia
- Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Subaru Park
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Cincinnati +320, Philadelphia -120, draw +320
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-152/+124)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Cincinnati: 21.4%
- Philadelphia: 57.0%
- Draw: 21.6%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cincinnati 1-1 Philadelphia, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.4% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 57.0%, with the draw at 21.6%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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