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Montreal vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Montreal vs. Toronto at the MLS on August 20, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
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2
Aug 20, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
Aug 20, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
F. Bernardeschi (67')
R. Petretta (77')
F. Bernardeschi (90')
M. Choiniere (18')
A. Mabika (o.g.) (25')
M. Choiniere (pen.) (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
G. Campbell (CF Montreal) cautioned
Goal scored for Toronto FC by F. Bernardeschi, assisted by J. Osorio
3-2
Substitution for Toronto FC: V. Vazquez replaces B. Servania
Goal scored for CF Montreal by M. Choiniere (pen.)
3-1
R. Petretta (Toronto FC) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for CF Montreal: L. Lappalainen replaces B. Duke
Goal scored for Toronto FC by F. Bernardeschi, assisted by L. Insigne
2-1
Substitution for Toronto FC: C. Sapong replaces P. Owusu
Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Insigne replaces J. Marshall-Rutty
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Franklin replaces F. Ibarra
Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Coello replaces M. Bradley
B. Servania (Toronto FC) cautioned
Substitution for CF Montreal: C. Offor replaces J. Vilsaint
Goal scored for CF Montreal by A. Mabika (o.g.)
2-0
Goal scored for CF Montreal by M. Choiniere
1-0
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Montreal vs. Toronto: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Montreal vs. Toronto prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Montreal vs. Toronto
- Date: Sunday, August 20, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: BMO Field
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Montreal +265, Toronto +130, draw +265
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-104)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Montreal: 31.8%
- Toronto: 40.9%
- Draw: 27.3%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Montreal 1-1 Toronto, with a probability of 13%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Montreal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.8% probability, while Toronto sits at 40.9%, with the draw at 27.3%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Montreal vs. Toronto prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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